Arctic Air Returns To ENC Mid-Week

Written by on November 16, 2014 in Local Forecast Discussion, Winter Weather
Surface analysis at 1:00 PM EST.

Surface analysis at 1:00 PM EST.

Skies are mostly cloudy over much of ENC keeping temperatures in the upper 40s to lower 50s across the area. Low pressure is developing off the South Carolina coast and is forecast to move north-northeastward along the coast which will bring a chance of rain to ENC with greater coverage near the coast. The recent HRRR model show showers passing through ENC through from around 6:00 PM through midnight. I do not expect any heavy rain from any showers that move through with most areas east of Highway 17 seeing less the 0.10″ and inland areas seeing less than 0.05″.

HRRR model showing scattered showers associated with a coast low moving northeastward over ENC through the early evening hours on Sunday.

HRRR model showing scattered showers associated with a coast low moving northeastward over ENC through the early evening hours on Sunday.

The showers will be out of the area by midnight and we should see a lull in rain through early morning though with overcast skies. Winds will become more southwesterly ahead of the next frontal system forecast to reach the area by Monday afternoon.

A line of showers associated with the frontal system forecast to move through the area Monday afternoon and evening.

A line of showers associated with the frontal system forecast to move through the area Monday afternoon and evening.

Southwesterly winds ahead of the cold front will allow temperatures across the east to reach the mid 70s.

Southwesterly winds ahead of the cold front will allow temperatures across the east to reach the mid 70s.

Temperatures ahead of the cold front will allow temperatures to reach the mid-70s across the area. The front is forecast to move through between 6:00 PM through midnight.

Skies will clear quickly after the frontal passage with temperatures dropping quickly as the cold arctic air begins filtering into the area. Lows Tuesday morning will be in the mid to upper-30s with highs only reaching the lower 40s. Tuesday night will be by far the coldest night of the season so far. Clear skies and calm winds will allow lows Tuesday night to drop into the lower 20s inland and upper 20s near the coast.

Temperatures early Wednesday morning will be in the lower to upper 20s across the area.

Temperatures early Wednesday morning will be in the lower to upper 20s across the area.

High pressure approaches the region from the southwest through the early part of the week keeping high temperatures in the mid 40s on Tuesday and Wednesday. High pressure will push offshore early Thursday morning allowing temperatures to reach the mid 50s as a result.

7 day forecast for ENC.

7 day forecast for ENC.

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