Another Brief Update On Hurricane Irma
This will be a brief update on Hurricane Irma. Right now Hurricane Irma is a category 3 hurricane with 120 mph winds and has begun to turn more westward. A motion to the west-southwest this weekend is expected. Irma should retain its strength during this time though frequent eyewall replacements could result in some fluctuations in strength. Irma could be a category 4 hurricane sometime next week.
Beyond that time, the forecast becomes very uncertain which is expected from long-range forecast models. Notable changes since yesterday are the Euro starting to move just off the east coast as opposed to traveling over south Florida. The GFS has been going back and forth on exact track though all model runs have the storm moving up the east coast though further west than the Euro. The big inconsistency with the GFS is its forecast speed of the storm. Ultimately the storm’s speed could impact the forecast track so a lot of attention to that will be important down the road. At this point any coastal section from Mexico through the Gulf coast, up the east coast, and Bermuda are all possible landfall locations.
Where ever this storm goes it will be very strong and dangerous. The time to have a plan is now and ready to execute if you happen to be in its final path.
I will continue to monitor the situation and provide updates daily.