A start to what will be an active week in ENC will ramp up Tuesday as a slow upper low moves eastward over the Appalachian Mountains where it will become nearly stationary over the next couple of days.
Presence of mid-level shortwave energy together with a slow moving front will set the stage for afternoon convection across central North Carolina which includes the far western sections of ENC. Coastal sections could see convection from an afternoon sea-breeze.
Most of these storms should remain below severe criteria though some of the isolated stronger storms could result in wet microbursts.
On Wednesday the slow moving front will wash out over the area. Showers and thunderstorm chances will increase with afternoon heating with some storms potentially reaching severe criteria. Main threat from storms that reach severe criteria will be strong, damaging winds, some hail and localized flooding. This pattern will persist through Friday.
Daily updates throughout the week.