000
FXUS62 KILM 021057
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
557 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Updated aviation discussion for 12Z TAFs.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Above normal temperatures with mainly late week rain 
chances.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1... Above normal temperatures with mainly late 
week rain chances.

High pressure will slowly move offshore bringing a warming 
trend with temperatures quite a bit above normal much of the 
week. Seems to be decent agreement on a more amplified weather 
pattern later in the week, with a few upper disturbances likely 
bringing increasing moisture and rain chances. However, details 
regarding timing and amounts of rainfall are more uncertain. At 
this time ensemble guidance suggests total rainfall through the 
weekend is most likely to be ~0.5" or less for most locales.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR. N to NE winds through the day 10-15 kts by the afternoon.
Some mid-level clouds may develop in the afternoon before
clearing skies tonight. 

Extended Outlook... Predominantly VFR. The risk for 
restrictions due to low clouds/showers increases on Wednesday 
and Thursday.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure centered north of the area will slowly shift 
offshore ahead of a weak storm system impacting the area mid 
week. Elevated seas will continue this afternoon and a few 6
foot seas will remain possible for our southern SC waters this
morning. Conditions gradually improve through the remainder of
the week, especially as flow turns onshore mid week.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...ILM
KEY MESSAGES...RJB/21
DISCUSSION...RJB/21
AVIATION...LEW
MARINE...RJB/21