ENC WEATHER • TROPICAL CENTER

Tropical Model Guidance

Active storms and invests • Track and intensity forecast models

Checked Oct 7, 2026 01:10 UTC
NOAA / National Hurricane Center
Google DeepMind Weather Lab (optional)

Active systems & recent invests

NHC active • AL Tropical depression Nine Oct 6, 2026 21:00 UTC Invest guidance • AL Invest 92L Oct 6, 2026 19:10 UTC NHC active • EP Hurricane Rachel Oct 6, 2026 21:00 UTC Invest guidance • EP Invest 92E Oct 7, 2026 00:36 UTC

Invests are detected from recent ATCF guidance; they are not necessarily official NHC active cyclones.

Nine — forecast guidance

Compare official NHC guidance with individual public model predictions.

Forecast initialization (UTC)

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Forecast guidance

Track Density
Show ensemble track density over the spaghetti tracks

Open a group to select individual forecast aids. NHC official is a forecast, not a model. Intensity-only aids can appear on the intensity graph even if they have no track coordinates.

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Model guidance can change substantially between runs. “Latest recent run” can mix initialization times, shown beside each model. NHC forecasts are authoritative. Saffir-Simpson categories describe maximum sustained winds only, not flooding, rainfall, surge, or tornado risk. NOAA data are checked on page load using a ten-minute cache; an open page does not refresh itself. Google DeepMind Weather Lab models are experimental, loaded separately and are not NHC official guidance. Google data are cached independently and are identified by their own forecast initialization times. One provider failing does not alter the other.